Saturday, January 17, 2009

Life Without Ollie



Its time to up the ante for Mr. Boras. The entire Derek Lowe scenario showed that eventually a Boras client will get closer to his number than the team's. I don't think the Mets were getting Lowe at $12 or 13 M per year even if that was the initial offer. Boras was looking to be in the $15 M annual range and he accomplished that goal. Were the Mets ever prepared to go that high, probably not and rightfully so. Lowe is not a No. 1 and the back end of that deal could hang like an albatross around the Braves neck. Of course that is ancient history for Mets fans, or it should be. The team still has at least one hole in the rotation and could use two more arms.
Ollie would fill one but is he the answer and are the Mets going to be able to get him at a number they feel comfortable with? I am guessing it takes 4 years at $12 with a 5th year option to get it done long term. Otherwise, Boras may very well direct Perez to take a one year offer on the West Coast and go back into the pool next year. If that happens what should the Mets do?
Option 1: sign Ben Sheets and take a medical chance. Without being able to look at or understand his records I can't make an educated guess. However, since this is just a blog I say give it a try if there is a reasonable chance of getting 20-25 starts out of him.
Option 2: sign Randy Wolf but again take a medical chance. He never has done that much for me except he is a lefty. If the Mets could get Wolf and Sheets and be guaranteed 40 starts that would be an option to consider.
Option 3: sign Andy Pettite and make the Yankees extremely unhappy. So unhappy, that they would probably sign Perez and have him blossom in pinstripes. Seems unlikely that Pettite would sign with the Mets.
Option 4: Jon Garland get a pitcher who pitches to contact. Interesting way to describe a pitcher but still seems to be overpriced.
Option 5: Freddy Garcia and another medical case. He has to be worth 10-15 starts, maybe more. What would you expect for the contract he is probably going to sign for.
Option 6: Trade for Jake Peavy, of course it will cost F-Mart plus and that is not going to happen.
So what should Omar do? Budget $12 M for the balance of the rotation, sign Sheets and Garcia on one year incentive deals. Probably less than $10 M between the two. Take the balance and follow the advice of Mets Fever, sign Orlando Hudson to a one year deal with options. He gives the Mets a #2 hitter and another switch hitter. Rotation would be Santana, Sheets, Pelfrey, Maine, Garcia, Redding, Niese. Plenty of arms to get 162 starts out of and potentially a dominating staff. The Mets would stay within budget and be the infamous "team to beat".

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